Worldcoin WLD

WLD has moved +6.93% in the last day, +34.47% over the week, and +34.47% over the past month. The all-time high of $11.74 was set 819 days ago, leaving WLD at 3.8% of that peak. Reclaiming the record would require a 2,531% advance from here. With both the weekly and monthly trends positive, momentum is aligned to the upside.

Volatility & risk

Realised volatility for WLD is currently very high, with a 7-day annualised reading near 316%. That places it among the most volatile names in the top 100 (more volatile than 97% of peers), so position sizing matters. Traders should expect double-digit percentage swings within a single week to be normal rather than exceptional.

Liquidity & trading depth

Over the last 24 hours roughly $545.96M changed hands, equal to about 36.1% of the circulating market value turning over in a day. That is healthy turnover — orders can generally be filled with limited slippage and the market is actively traded. Liquidity health scores 77/100 on our composite, which blends 24-hour volume against market capitalisation.

Correlation with Bitcoin & markets

Over the past week, WLD's hourly returns show a correlation of 0.37 with Bitcoin. That is a loose link — WLD has moved with relative independence from Bitcoin, which can add diversification to a crypto basket. Correlation regimes shift, so this figure is a snapshot rather than a constant.

On-chain value & TVL

The DeFi ecosystem built on or powered by Worldcoin currently secures roughly $29.95M in total value locked (TVL) — the dollar value of assets deposited in its protocols. Against a market capitalisation of $1.51B, that gives a market-cap-to-TVL ratio of 50.47. A high ratio means the market values WLD well above the capital currently locked in its ecosystem — pricing in future growth that on-chain activity has yet to deliver. TVL is a useful gauge of real economic usage, but it rises and falls with token prices, so read it alongside the trend in deposits rather than the dollar figure alone.

Our outlook blends three independent lenses. The technical model reads momentum as bullish and frames a near-term band of $0.4195 to $0.5176. The statistical model, driven by realised volatility, centres near $0.4924 with a one-horizon spread of $0.0446 to $2.00. The relative model, anchored to how comparable top-100 assets have performed (median -4.32% over the past week), points to $0.4009 to $0.4812. Blending the three yields the horizon-by-horizon ensemble in the table below. Model confidence is High, reflecting data completeness and liquidity. These are probabilistic scenarios generated from market data — not guarantees, and not financial advice.

Worldcoin has a circulating supply of 3,384,499,800 WLD. Supply is hard-capped at 10,000,000,000 tokens, meaning 33.8% already exists and only 6,615,500,200 remain to be issued. A meaningful share is still to be released, so emission schedules are worth tracking for dilution. Fully diluted valuation and circulating market cap can diverge sharply when a large share of tokens is still locked, so both are worth comparing before drawing conclusions about value.

Worldcoin (WLD) is the 52nd-ranked cryptocurrency tracked on TBN Express, with live pricing, derived risk metrics and a multi-model outlook refreshed throughout the day. The profile below combines project information with our own quantitative read of how WLD is trading right now.