Falcon Finance FF

FF has moved +2.35% in the last day, -6.11% over the week, and -6.11% over the past month. The all-time high of $0.7708 was set 251 days ago, leaving FF at 12.2% of that peak. Reclaiming the record would require a 717% advance from here. With both the weekly and monthly trends negative, the path of least resistance remains lower for now.

Volatility & risk

Realised volatility for FF is currently very high, with a 7-day annualised reading near 163%. That places it among the most volatile names in the top 100 (more volatile than 87% of peers), so position sizing matters. Traders should expect double-digit percentage swings within a single week to be normal rather than exceptional.

Liquidity & trading depth

Over the last 24 hours roughly $9.67M changed hands, equal to about 3.6% of the circulating market value turning over in a day. That is thin turnover relative to market cap, so larger trades can move the price meaningfully and spreads may widen in stress. Liquidity health scores 9/100 on our composite, which blends 24-hour volume against market capitalisation.

Correlation with Bitcoin & markets

Over the past week, FF's hourly returns show a correlation of 0.20 with Bitcoin. That is a loose link — FF has moved with relative independence from Bitcoin, which can add diversification to a crypto basket. Correlation regimes shift, so this figure is a snapshot rather than a constant.

On-chain value & TVL

The DeFi ecosystem built on or powered by Falcon Finance currently secures roughly $1.3B in total value locked (TVL) — the dollar value of assets deposited in its protocols. Against a market capitalisation of $271.29M, that gives a market-cap-to-TVL ratio of 0.21. A ratio below 1 means FF's market value is smaller than the capital its ecosystem secures — a configuration value investors often read as relatively cheap, though it can also signal a token whose price has lagged its on-chain usage. TVL is a useful gauge of real economic usage, but it rises and falls with token prices, so read it alongside the trend in deposits rather than the dollar figure alone.

Our outlook blends three independent lenses. The technical model reads momentum as bearish and frames a near-term band of $0.0811 to $0.1019. The statistical model, driven by realised volatility, centres near $0.0926 with a one-horizon spread of $0.00943200 to $0.2629. The relative model, anchored to how comparable top-100 assets have performed (median -16.63% over the past week), points to $0.0789 to $0.0959. Blending the three yields the horizon-by-horizon ensemble in the table below. Model confidence is Medium, reflecting data completeness and liquidity. These are probabilistic scenarios generated from market data — not guarantees, and not financial advice.

Falcon Finance has a circulating supply of 2,875,000,000 FF. Supply is hard-capped at 10,000,000,000 tokens, meaning 28.8% already exists and only 7,125,000,000 remain to be issued. A meaningful share is still to be released, so emission schedules are worth tracking for dilution. Fully diluted valuation and circulating market cap can diverge sharply when a large share of tokens is still locked, so both are worth comparing before drawing conclusions about value.

Falcon Finance (FF) is the 138th-ranked cryptocurrency tracked on TBN Express, with live pricing, derived risk metrics and a multi-model outlook refreshed throughout the day. The profile below combines project information with our own quantitative read of how FF is trading right now.